Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.416620 0.456643 0.499460 0.548780 0.604153 0.664554 0.735625
2025-11-16 0.353681 0.409941 0.474380 0.554116 0.650768 0.764943 0.911227
2025-11-23 0.312942 0.376126 0.451813 0.550073 0.675599 0.832411 1.046027
2025-11-30 0.286524 0.354518 0.438964 0.552989 0.705162 0.904481 1.190779
2025-12-07 0.261717 0.331580 0.420956 0.545646 0.718291 0.953768 1.307961
2025-12-14 0.241548 0.312367 0.405337 0.538826 0.729815 1.000010 1.423971
2025-12-21 0.220595 0.290182 0.383529 0.520854 0.722904 1.017901 1.498210
2025-12-28 0.211319 0.282991 0.381340 0.529800 0.754872 1.094888 1.671411
2026-01-04 0.202401 0.275492 0.377891 0.536180 0.782937 1.167885 1.846358
2026-01-11 0.193534 0.267348 0.372739 0.539253 0.805644 1.233941 2.017127
2026-01-18 0.185232 0.259406 0.367192 0.541012 0.825969 1.297474 2.190845
2026-01-25 0.178325 0.253034 0.363450 0.545079 0.850032 1.369125 2.388164
2026-02-01 0.168043 0.241123 0.350707 0.534068 0.848360 1.396758 2.507600
2026-02-08 0.162319 0.235841 0.347893 0.539030 0.874453 1.476594 2.741518
2026-02-15 0.155110 0.227814 0.340191 0.535129 0.884363 1.527289 2.922692
2026-02-22 0.149918 0.222637 0.336672 0.537948 0.906372 1.602778 3.167507
2026-03-01 0.143104 0.214503 0.327840 0.530847 0.909318 1.641155 3.335769
2026-03-08 0.136891 0.207019 0.319644 0.524251 0.912532 1.680152 3.511123
2026-03-15 0.129080 0.196565 0.305941 0.506867 0.893551 1.671613 3.572230
2026-03-22 0.126540 0.194663 0.306561 0.515521 0.926119 1.774334 3.922120
2026-03-29 0.123703 0.192111 0.305897 0.521692 0.954168 1.870353 4.272346
2026-04-05 0.120487 0.188759 0.303642 0.524664 0.975856 1.954618 4.607098
2026-04-12 0.117249 0.185211 0.300840 0.526365 0.994963 2.035061 4.946582